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All-temperature pressure of orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses

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Gives an exact variational formula for the limiting pressure of orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses at every fixed temperature, both almost surely and in expectation. The coupling matrix is a Haar-random rotation of a deterministic spectrum converging to a compactly supported law, with extreme eigenvalues converging to its support edges. The zero-field ground-state energy follows as temperature tends to zero. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

Both independent assessments find that the Lean statements express or imply the whole result described above. Read the assessments

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (Limiting pressure)

In All-temperature pressure for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses, 25 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from the papers’ main statements because it shares the most wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

Let \Lambda_N be deterministic real diagonal matrices whose empirical spectral measures converge weakly to a compactly supported probability law \mu. Assume that their smallest and largest eigenvalues converge to the respective edges of \supp\mu. Let U_N be Haar distributed on O(N), and define P_N using the uniform spin probability in Equation (1.1). With S and G_1 as in Equations (1.7)–(1.8),

\lim_{N\to\infty}\E P_N =\lim_{N\to\infty}P_N =\mathcal F(\mu) :=\inf_{p\in\cP}\{S(p)+G_1(p)\},

where the second limit holds almost surely. No independence of the matrices U_N across dimensions is required.

Reported proof verification
One Lean statement in the release; two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this file at the version shown here.

Papers

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All-temperature pressure for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses

25 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We determine the limiting pressure of an Ising spin glass with Haar orthogonal eigenvectors, a compact limiting spectral law, and no asymptotic outliers, at every fixed temperature. The pressure converges in expectation and almost surely to a variational formula. We also give the limiting pressure with deterministic external fields whose empirical laws converge in first-moment transport distance, and derive a formula for the zero-field ground-state energy by taking temperature to zero.

One Lean statement in this family

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The Lean statement below is shown beside its possible paper counterpart, with the reason they were linked.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

InvariantIsing

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (Limiting pressure)

In All-temperature pressure for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses, 25 September 2026

Let \Lambda_N be deterministic real diagonal matrices whose empirical spectral measures converge weakly to a compactly supported probability law \mu. Assume that their smallest and largest eigenvalues converge to the respective edges of \supp\mu. Let U_N be Haar distributed on O(N), and define P_N using the uniform spin probability in Equation (1.1). With S and G_1 as in Equations (1.7)–(1.8),

\lim_{N\to\infty}\E P_N =\lim_{N\to\infty}P_N =\mathcal F(\mu) :=\inf_{p\in\cP}\{S(p)+G_1(p)\},

where the second limit holds almost surely. No independence of the matrices U_N across dimensions is required.

The words they share: almost, compactly, converge, eigenvalues, empirical, haar, limit, limiting, pressure, spectral, spin, supported, surely.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Pressure and ground-state limits for invariant Ising models

InvariantIsing.lean, the release lists it as a supporting statement.

theorem limiting_pressure_of_extreme_limits_unconditional :  ∀ {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (P : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure P]    (U : (N : ℕ) → Ω → Orthogonal N) (_hU : ∀ N, Measurable (U N))    (_hHaar : ∀ N, (P.map (U N)).IsMulRightInvariant)    (eig : (N : ℕ) → Fin N → ℝ) (ν : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (a b : ℝ)    (_hcompact : IsCompact (ν : Measure ℝ).support)    (_hbound : (ν : Measure ℝ).support ⊆ Icc a b)    (_ha : a∈(ν : Measure ℝ).support) (_hb : b∈(ν : Measure ℝ).support)    (_hmin : Tendsto (fun k => spectralMinimum (eig (k+1))) atTop (𝓝 a))    (_hmax : Tendsto (fun k => spectralMaximum (eig (k+1))) atTop (𝓝 b))    (_hweak : Tendsto (fun k => empiricalSpectralLaw (Nat.succ_pos k) (eig (k+1)))      atTop (𝓝 ν)),    Tendsto (fun N => ∫ ω, rotatedPressure (eig N) (matrixRotation (U N ω)⁻¹) (fun _ => 0) ∂P)      atTop (𝓝 (variationalFunctional (measureR (ν : Measure ℝ) b)).toReal) ∧    ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Tendsto (fun N => rotatedPressure (eig N) (matrixRotation (U N ω)⁻¹) (fun _ => 0))      atTop (𝓝 (variationalFunctional (measureR (ν : Measure ℝ) b)).toReal) := by

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

The file states ten more theorems: limiting_wasserstein_field_pressure_of_extreme_limits_unconditional, positive_temperature_pressure_unconditional, ground_state_limit_unconditional, random_pressure_tendsto_in_measure_unconditional, random_pressure_limit_unconditional, random_pressure_tendsto_ae_unconditional, random_field_pressure_tendsto_ae_unconditional, gaussianPattern_pressure_limit_unconditional, gaussianPattern_ground_limit_unconditional, gaussianPattern_norm_limits_unconditional.

two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling records it as “accepted”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

MathVet and cert-machine agree on how much of the advertised result the Lean statements express.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result (their term: “full”).

Their note: limiting_pressure_of_extreme_limits_unconditional: for Haar-distributed orthogonal U N ((P.map (U N)).IsMulRightInvariant), deterministic spectra eig N with empiricalSpectralLaw → ν (compact support, extreme eigenvalues → a, b), ∫ rotatedPressure.. ∂P → (variationalFunctional (measureR ν b)).toReal and the same almost surely; positive_temperature_pressure_unconditional (all β > 0 via scaledSpectralLaw), ground_state_limit_unconditional (Tendsto (thermalVariationalValue ν b) atTop (𝓝 M) with M the ground-state limit), plus magnetic-field, random-spectrum and Gaussian-pattern variants. All summary claims are stated.

Definitions the group asks readers to compare with the paper: Custom ‘free energy’: logPartition H := log ((card X)⁻¹ * Σ_x exp(H x)) (normalized by 2^{-N}, i.e. pressure minus log 2), rotatedPressure, the Parisi-type variationalFunctional R := ⨅ p : OverlapPath, entropyFunctional p + spectralFunctional R p (EReal) and measureR μ e x (R-transform via a h.choose inverse of the resolvent on (e, ∞)); hand-written variational formulas, with the final value taken via .toReal of an EReal (junk if infinite).

“full”, in their words: The challenge statements imply the headline claim after unpacking definitions or one routine step.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result (their term: “MATCHES”).

“MATCHES”, in their words: The challenge statements state the headline as OpenAI wrote it.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

The formalization gives variational limits for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses whose eigenvectors have Haar law and whose empirical eigenvalue distributions converge to a compactly supported law with the stated control of extreme eigenvalues. The pressure converges both in expectation and almost surely to an explicit functional of the limiting spectral law. A version with external fields assumes convergence of their empirical laws in Wasserstein distance and gives the corresponding magnetic-field functional.

The formalization also covers every positive temperature, a ground-state limit, random spectral data with the stated conditional Haar law, and Gaussian-pattern specializations. These hypotheses identify the invariant models to which the limits apply.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Pressure and ground-state limits for invariant Ising models InvariantIsing

    Unreviewed AI draft: states a paper’s theorem as the paper does. States the main theorem (limiting pressure of orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses, in expectation and almost surely) with the field, ground-state, random-spectrum and Gaussian-pattern versions.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Pressure and ground-state limits for invariant Ising models InvariantIsing

Two reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling“accepted”Re-run through Comparator with Lean’s kernel: accepted (the check took 580 s; peak memory 7.3 GiB).10 October 2026Original report

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Papers elsewhere in the release that this family’s papers cite

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

No paper elsewhere in the release cites this family’s papers.

References outside the release

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What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a proof and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Solid publication, could lead to tenure”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

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