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The Mézard–Parisi formula for diluted spin glasses

OpenAI groups related papers into a “family”. OpenAI’s catalogue describes this one:

Proves the Mézard–Parisi hierarchical cavity formula for Poisson-diluted even-arity Ising models satisfying the Panchenko–Talagrand factorization and positivity assumptions, with only first-moment integrability. The limiting free energy equals the infimum over finite-depth hierarchical trial laws. This includes the Viana–Bray model, symmetric diluted even-spin models, and weighted soft even-K satisfiability. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

Both independent assessments find that the Lean statements express or imply the whole result described above. Read the assessments

The paper states

Theorem 2.1

In The Mézard–Parisi formula for diluted spin glasses, 23 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from the papers’ main statements because it shares the most wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

The other possible matches are Theorem 6.5 (Identity on prescribed trees) in the same paper () and Theorem 7.1 in the same paper ().

Under (2.1)–(2.4), the thermodynamic limit exists and

\lim_{N\to\infty}F_N=\inf_{r\ge0}\Phi_r.
Reported proof verification
One Lean statement in the release; two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this file at the version shown here.

Papers

Each paper opens as a reading page in the browser, with the PDF beside it. The statements each paper opens with are on its reading page.

The Mézard–Parisi formula for diluted spin glasses

23 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the Mézard–Parisi hierarchical cavity formula for diluted even-arity Ising models in the Panchenko–Talagrand class. This resolves the variational equality conjecture for that class: the limiting pressure equals the infimum of the trial functional over all finite hierarchy depths and trial laws. Only first moments of the interaction and external field are required.

OpenAI released an abridged summary of the model’s reasoning for this family: The Mézard–Parisi formula for diluted spin glasses

One Lean statement in this family

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The Lean statement below is shown beside its possible paper counterpart, with the reason they were linked.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

DilutedSpin

The paper states

The words they share: integrability, limit, model, positivity, thermodynamic.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Mézard–Parisi variational equality for diluted even-arity spin glasses

DilutedSpin.lean, the release lists it as a supporting statement.

theorem mezard_parisi {p : ℕ} (M : Model p) (hM : Admissible M) :    Tendsto (pressure M) atTop (𝓝 (variationalValue M)) := by  sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Other mathematical statements in OpenAI’s Lean library

Atlas found these propositions by scanning the text of the project’s Model.lean file. Each name links to its definition, with any associated statement file beside it. This list does not record running Lean to interpret or verify those definitions.

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

MathVet and cert-machine agree on how much of the advertised result the Lean statements express.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result (their term: “full”).

Their note: mezard_parisi (M : Model p) (hM : Admissible M) : Tendsto (pressure M) atTop (𝓝 (variationalValue M)) for Poisson-diluted even-arity (p >= 2 even) Ising models with the factorization exp(θ s) = a (1 + b ∏ f_l(s_l)), independence/identical-distribution of the f_l, b-moment positivity 0 ≤ E[(-b)^n] and only first-moment integrability of θ and the field; variationalValue M := ⨅ r, phi M r with phi M r := sInf {functional M r ζ m | ζ ∈ Hierarchy (r+1), 0 < m_1 <... < m_r < 1}. Matches the summary (Viana-Bray etc. are instances of the class, not separately stated). Caveat: everything is Bochner integrals, so a non-integrable integrand silently evaluates to 0.

Definitions the group asks readers to compare with the paper: Custom ‘free energy’: pressure M N := (∫ k ∂Poisson(αN), ∫ θ, ∫ h, avg_indices log Σ_σ exp(logWeight)...) / N and the hierarchical functional functional M r ζ m over Hierarchy : ℕ → TopCat (H_0 = ℝ, H_{r+1} = ProbabilityMeasure (H_r)) with logMean/trialLog; all hand-written, and phi is an sInf over reals (junk value 0 if unbounded below) with Bochner integrals defaulting to 0 off the integrable class. Not trivializing (convergence to a nontrivial inf is asserted) but the junk-value behaviour is a fidelity risk.

“full”, in their words: The challenge statements imply the headline claim after unpacking definitions or one routine step.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result (their term: “MATCHES”).

“MATCHES”, in their words: The challenge statements state the headline as OpenAI wrote it.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

The formalization proves the Mézard–Parisi hierarchical cavity formula for diluted even-arity Ising models in the Panchenko–Talagrand class. Under the class’s factorization, independence, integrability, and positivity assumptions, the finite-system pressure converges to the infimum of the trial functional over all finite hierarchy depths and trial laws. The arity is any even integer at least two and the interaction density is positive.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Mézard–Parisi variational equality for diluted even-arity spin glasses DilutedSpin

    Unreviewed AI draft: states a paper’s theorem as the paper does. States the main theorem: the Mézard–Parisi formula, with existence of the thermodynamic limit, for diluted even-arity models in the Panchenko–Talagrand class.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Mézard–Parisi variational equality for diluted even-arity spin glasses DilutedSpin

Two reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report

Explanations by others

Explanations of this family written elsewhere, by the people named. Each is their own reading of the mathematics.

  • seaworld008, seaworld008/openai-math-top30: thirty selected families explained in Chinese, 7 October 2026. Source

    Chinese-language explainer for general readers, with a beginner’s section, a specialist section, background on why the problem was hard and a diagram; it ends by saying it paraphrases OpenAI’s summary and does not represent consensus.

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Papers elsewhere in the release that this family’s papers cite

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

References outside the release

Each paper’s outside references are listed with it on its reading page, where each citation is placed. Every outside work cited in the release: References outside the release

Explain a result, compare statements or propose a correction

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What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a proof and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Major math journal”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

Questions awaiting review

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Read the Lean statement against the paper

  • An AI agent drafted an assessment of which part of the paper this Lean statement expresses. No named human review is recorded. Open the form

Identify the theorem the catalogue describes

  • Family 221 The theorem shown was selected from shared wording with OpenAI’s description. Atlas records no review confirming that it is the theorem the description means. Open the form

Address a question raised in an independent assessment

Compare the proposed paper and Lean matches

  • Family 221 Atlas records no review of whether each linked Lean statement and paper theorem mean the same thing. Open the form