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Planar first-passage geometry and the absence of bigeodesics

OpenAI groups related papers into a “family”. OpenAI’s catalogue describes this one:

Proves that planar first-passage percolation has no doubly infinite geodesic for iid nonnegative nonatomic edge weights when the minimum of four weights has finite second moment. For exponential weights, the limit shape is strictly convex with C1 boundary. Differentiability also holds for every Gamma law with positive shape and rate. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

The independent assessments find that the Lean statements express only part of the result described above, or a narrower statement. Read the assessments

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (The exponential limit shape)

In Strict convexity and differentiability of the planar exponential first-passage limit shape, 24 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from the papers’ main statements because it shares the most wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

The other possible matches are Theorem 1.2 (Differentiability for Gamma weights) in the same paper () and Theorem 1.1 in No bigeodesics in planar first-passage percolation ().

For independent exponential edge weights of any rate \lambda>0, the norm \mu is Fréchet differentiable on \R^2\setminus\{0\}, and its unit ball is strictly convex. In particular,

\mu((1-t)x+ty)<1 \quad\text{if }x,y\in\partial\Bcal,\ x\ne y,\ 0<t<1,

and \partial\Bcal is a C^1 curve with a unique supporting line at every point.

Reported proof verification
Two Lean statements in the release; independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for all these files at the version shown here.

Papers

Each paper opens as a reading page in the browser, with the PDF beside it. The statements each paper opens with are on its reading page.

No bigeodesics in planar first-passage percolation

24 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove that planar first-passage percolation with independent identically distributed nonnegative nonatomic edge weights has almost surely no doubly infinite geodesic, provided the minimum of four independent weights has finite second moment. This resolves the planar no-bigeodesics conjecture under that moment assumption. The conclusion rules out all bigeodesics simultaneously, without any regularity assumption on the limit shape.

Strict convexity and differentiability of the planar exponential first-passage limit shape

24 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove that the limit shape of undirected nearest-neighbor first-passage percolation on ℤ2 with independent exponential edge weights is strictly convex and has a C1 boundary. This resolves the strict convexity and differentiability conjectures for the planar exponential model. More generally, we prove differentiability of the time-constant norm for every Gamma edge-weight law with positive shape and rate.

Two Lean statements in this family

Choose one to see it beside the paper theorem it is paired with.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

PlanarFirstPassage

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (The exponential limit shape)

In Strict convexity and differentiability of the planar exponential first-passage limit shape, 24 September 2026

For independent exponential edge weights of any rate \lambda>0, the norm \mu is Fréchet differentiable on \R^2\setminus\{0\}, and its unit ball is strictly convex. In particular,

\mu((1-t)x+ty)<1 \quad\text{if }x,y\in\partial\Bcal,\ x\ne y,\ 0<t<1,

and \partial\Bcal is a C^1 curve with a unique supporting line at every point.

The words they share: exponential, supporting, curve, differentiable, unique, norm, unit, edge, independent, passage, shape, limit.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Differentiability of the exponential first-passage limit shape

PlanarFirstPassage.lean, the release lists it as a main result.

theorem manuscriptMain (Ω : Type) [MeasurableSpace Ω] (P : Measure Ω) (τ : Edge → Ω → ℝ)    (henv : ExponentialEnvironment P τ) :    ∃ μ : Plane → ℝ, TimeConstantNorm μ ∧ IsTimeConstant P τ μ ∧      DifferentiableAwayFromOrigin μ ∧ UniqueNormalizedSupports μ ∧ C1UnitSphere μ ∧      (∀ v ∈ frontier {z | μ z ≤ 1}, ∃! L : Set Plane,        ∃ g : Plane →L[ℝ] ℝ, g ≠ 0 ∧ (∀ z, μ z ≤ 1 → g z ≤ g v) ∧ L={z | g z=g v}) ∧      (∀ v ∈ frontier {z | μ z ≤ 1}, HasC1CurveChart (frontier {z | μ z ≤ 1}) v) := by  sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.

Read the complete Lean statement

GammaPassage

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (The exponential limit shape)

In Strict convexity and differentiability of the planar exponential first-passage limit shape, 24 September 2026

For independent exponential edge weights of any rate \lambda>0, the norm \mu is Fréchet differentiable on \R^2\setminus\{0\}, and its unit ball is strictly convex. In particular,

\mu((1-t)x+ty)<1 \quad\text{if }x,y\in\partial\Bcal,\ x\ne y,\ 0<t<1,

and \partial\Bcal is a C^1 curve with a unique supporting line at every point.

The words they share: ball, point, curve, differentiable, shape, limit, rate, norm, unit, edge, independent, planar, passage, weights.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Differentiability for every positive Gamma edge-weight law

GammaPassage.lean, the release lists it as a supporting statement.

def GammaDifferentiabilityTarget : Prop :=  ∀ (shape rate : ℝ), 0 < shape → 0 < rate →    ∀ (Ω : Type) [MeasurableSpace Ω] (P : Measure Ω)      (τ : PlanarFPP.Edge → Ω → ℝ),      GammaEnvironment shape rate P τ →        ∃ μ : Plane → ℝ,          TimeConstantNorm μ ∧ IsTimeConstant P τ μ ∧          DifferentiableAwayFromOrigin μ ∧          ∀ v ∈ frontier {z : Plane | μ z ≤ 1},            HasC1CurveChart (frontier {z : Plane | μ z ≤ 1}) vtheorem gamma_differentiability : GammaDifferentiabilityTarget := by  sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

Neither group finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result. They describe what the statements express in different terms.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express part of the advertised result (their term: “partial”).

Their note: PRIMARY CLAIM NOT STATED (only a secondary result is formalized). Stated: exponential case manuscriptMain (norm μ with IsTimeConstant, DifferentiableAwayFromOrigin, UniqueNormalizedSupports, C1UnitSphere, unique supporting line, HasC1CurveChart on the frontier) and GammaFPP.gamma_differentiability for every shape/rate > 0. Not stated: the first headline claim (no doubly infinite geodesic for iid nonatomic weights with finite second moment of the min of four) and strict convexity of the exponential limit shape (docs: ‘Strict convexity is outside these selected differentiability statements’; bigeodesics are not mentioned in the docs scope).

“partial”, in their words: Only a special case is stated, or a co-equal headline claim has no challenge statement.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express a narrower statement than the advertised result (their term: “NARROWER — UNLINKED”).

The gap they name: The no-bigeodesics theorem (the headline’s first sentence) is not stated; strict convexity of the exponential limit shape is not stated (declared).

“NARROWER — UNLINKED”, in their words: The challenge statements state less than the headline; the missing part comes from a paper the Lean note does not link.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

The formalization proves differentiability of the planar first-passage time-constant norm for independent Gamma edge weights of every positive shape and rate. The norm is differentiable away from the origin, and its unit sphere has a $C^1$ boundary. This includes the exponential model, for which the linked statement also gives a unique supporting line at every boundary point.

The paper also claims strict convexity for the exponential limit shape. Strict convexity is outside these selected differentiability statements.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Differentiability of the exponential first-passage limit shape PlanarFirstPassage

    Unreviewed AI draft: states part of a paper’s theorem. States the differentiability half of the exponential limit-shape theorem, with a unique supporting line at every boundary point. The strict convexity asserted in the same theorem is outside the statement.

  • Differentiability for every positive Gamma edge-weight law GammaPassage

    Unreviewed AI draft: states a paper’s theorem as the paper does. States the paper’s theorem on Gamma weights: the time-constant norm is differentiable away from the origin for every positive shape and rate.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Differentiability of the exponential first-passage limit shape PlanarFirstPassage

Two reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report

Differentiability for every positive Gamma edge-weight law GammaPassage

Two reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Within this family

Papers elsewhere in the release that this family’s papers cite

This family’s papers cite no paper elsewhere in the release.

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

No paper elsewhere in the release cites this family’s papers.

References outside the release

Each paper’s outside references are listed with it on its reading page, where each citation is placed. Every outside work cited in the release: References outside the release

Explain a result, compare statements or propose a correction

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Offer to write an explanationCompare one Lean statement with its paper: PlanarFirstPassage, GammaPassageSuggest a source attributionSuggest a change

What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a proof and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Career-defining publication”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

Questions awaiting review

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Read the Lean statement against the paper

  • An AI agent drafted an assessment of which part of the paper this Lean statement expresses. No named human review is recorded. Open the form
  • An AI agent drafted an assessment of which part of the paper this Lean statement expresses. No named human review is recorded. Open the form

Identify the theorem the catalogue describes

  • Family 212 The theorem shown was selected from shared wording with OpenAI’s description. Atlas records no review confirming that it is the theorem the description means. Open the form

Compare the proposed paper and Lean matches

  • Family 212 Atlas records no review of whether each linked Lean statement and paper theorem mean the same thing. Open the form