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Hilbert’s sixteenth problem: uniform bounds for limit cycles

OpenAI groups related papers into a “family”. OpenAI’s catalogue describes this one:

Resolves the uniform boundedness assertion in Hilbert’s sixteenth problem: the number of isolated periodic orbits of a real planar polynomial vector field is bounded by a finite constant depending only on its degree. For classical quintic Liénard systems, the exact maximum is two limit cycles. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

The independent assessments find that the Lean statements express only part of the result described above, or a narrower statement. Read the assessments

One problem has been reported by others; the atlas has not judged it.

What the papers state

Theorem 1.1 (Uniform boundedness)

In Uniform bounds for planar polynomial limit cycles, 24 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from the papers’ main statements because it shares the most wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

For each integer d\geq1, there is a finite nonnegative integer B(d) such that every real planar polynomial vector field of degree at most d has at most B(d) limit cycles in the whole plane.

No Lean statement in the release is paired with this theorem.

Theorem 1.1

In Two limit cycles for quintic Liénard systems, 24 September 2026

The paper’s main theorem is shown as a possible match to OpenAI’s description. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

If \deg F\le5, the system (1.1) has at most two limit cycles in \R^2. Some members of this class have two limit cycles. Thus its exact maximum is two.

No Lean statement in the release is paired with this theorem.

The release does not say which paper theorem its catalogue describes. Both statements above are shown whole, the closer match to the description’s wording first. The atlas has not reviewed either choice.

Reported proof verification
One Lean statement in the release; two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this file at the version shown here.

Papers

Each paper opens as a reading page in the browser, with the PDF beside it. The statements each paper opens with are on its reading page.

Uniform bounds for planar polynomial limit cycles

24 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

For every degree, we prove that the number of isolated periodic orbits of a real planar polynomial vector field is bounded by a finite constant depending only on that degree. This establishes the uniform boundedness assertion in the second part of Hilbert’s sixteenth problem. The proof uses separation of asymptotic expansions on nested complex domains and a finite-dimensional counting argument.

Two limit cycles for quintic Liénard systems

24 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

Every classical Liénard system \(\dot x=y-F(x)\), \(\dot y=-x\), with F an arbitrary real polynomial of degree at most five, has at most two geometrically distinct isolated periodic orbits, and the bound is attained. This proves the degree-five case of the Lins Neto–de Melo–Pugh conjecture.

One Lean statement in this family

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The Lean statement below is shown beside its possible paper counterpart, with the reason they were linked.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

QuinticLienard

The paper states

Proposition 2.5 (Periodic-orbit matching)

In Two limit cycles for quintic Liénard systems, 24 September 2026

For the system

\dot x=y-F(x),\qquad \dot y=-x,

the images of nonconstant periodic solutions are in one-to-one correspondence with the zeros of

\Delta(r)=M_+(0,r)-M_-(0,r)

on the single open interval \mathcal I=\mathcal I_+\cap\mathcal I_-. If this interval is empty, there are no such periodic solutions. Each periodic orbit has exactly one positive and one negative intersection with the y-axis. Under the correspondence, isolated periodic orbits are exactly isolated zeros of \Delta.

The words they share: orbits, periodic, solutions, exactly, images, nonconstant, isolated, system.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Exact two-cycle bound for quintic Liénard systems

QuinticLienard.lean, the release lists it as a main result.

theorem main :    (∀ F : Polynomial ℝ, F.degree ≤ 5 → {C : Set Plane | IsLimitCycle F C}.encard ≤ 2) ∧    (∃ F : Polynomial ℝ, F.degree ≤ 5 ∧ {C : Set Plane | IsLimitCycle F C}.encard = 2) := by  sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

two independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Other mathematical statements in OpenAI’s Lean library

Atlas found these propositions by scanning the text of the project’s Model.lean file. Each name links to its definition, with any associated statement file beside it. This list does not record running Lean to interpret or verify those definitions.

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

Neither group finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result. They describe what the statements express in different terms.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express part of the advertised result (their term: “partial”).

Their note: Only the quintic Lienard system x' = y - F(x), y' = -x (at most 2 limit cycles, exactly 2 attained); the general uniform boundedness theorem for planar polynomial vector fields of degree n is not stated.

Definitions the group asks readers to compare with the paper: IsLimitCycle F C := IsPeriodicOrbit F C ∧ ∃ U open ⊇ C, ∀ periodic orbits C' ⊆ U, C' = C (isolated nonconstant periodic orbit, standard); counts via Set.encard

“partial”, in their words: Only a special case is stated, or a co-equal headline claim has no challenge statement.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express a narrower statement than the advertised result (their term: “NARROWER — UNLINKED”).

The gap they name: The headline’s main clause — the Hilbert’s-sixteenth uniform bound on limit cycles of every real planar polynomial vector field by a constant depending only on the degree — is not stated; only the quintic Liénard count is.

“NARROWER — UNLINKED”, in their words: The challenge statements state less than the headline; the missing part comes from a paper the Lean note does not link.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

For the quintic Liénard system $x'=y-F(x)$, $y'=-x$, the formalized result proves that every real polynomial $F$ of degree at most five yields at most two limit cycles, and that some such $F$ yields exactly two. Limit cycles are isolated images of nonconstant periodic solutions. No sign, parity, hyperbolicity, or amplitude restriction is imposed.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Exact two-cycle bound for quintic Liénard systems QuinticLienard

    Unreviewed AI draft: states a paper’s theorem as the paper does. States the main theorem: quintic Liénard systems have at most two limit cycles, and some have exactly two.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Exact two-cycle bound for quintic Liénard systems QuinticLienard

Two reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report

Other reports of proof verification

Other people’s accounts of running proof-verification software, with links to their reports.

  • AscendFoam, AscendFoam/hierarchical-melnikov-lean: Lean 4 formalisation of the hierarchical Melnikov lower bound for Hilbert numbers, 7 October 2026. Source

    Repository’s Lean CI (lake build and axiom audit) green on 6 of 6 runs, latest 7 Oct 19:15 UTC.

Problems reported by others

Reports of errors and corrections from outside readers, as they state them. The atlas has not judged them.

  • Lean community, OpenAI releases solutions to hundreds of problems (117 messages, 6-10 Oct 2026), 6 October 2026. Source

    Robert Joseph’s audit: the Lean covers only the quintic Lienard case of the Hilbert 16th result although the catalogue links it as formalised.

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Papers elsewhere in the release that this family’s papers cite

This family’s papers cite no paper elsewhere in the release.

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

No paper elsewhere in the release cites this family’s papers.

Follow-up work by others

  • AscendFoam, AscendFoam/hierarchical-melnikov-lean: Lean 4 formalisation of the hierarchical Melnikov lower bound for Hilbert numbers, 7 October 2026. Source

    AscendFoam reports a Lean formalisation of a lower bound of order d^2 log^2 d for the number of hyperbolic limit cycles.

References outside the release

Each paper’s outside references are listed with it on its reading page, where each citation is placed. Every outside work cited in the release: References outside the release

Explain a result, compare statements or propose a correction

Atlas has no contributed explanation for this family yet. You can offer one with a GitHub account. You receive named credit and disclose any AI assistance.

Each button opens a GitHub form with this page and its source version filled in. Opening the form does not reserve the work.

Offer to write an explanationCompare the Lean statement with the paperSuggest a source attributionSuggest a change

What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a proof and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Landmark of the century”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

  • Chaoyang Qin, Xiaoming Sun, Hierarchical Melnikov Realization: Logarithmic Factor Improvement to Hilbert Number Lower Bounds, 8 October 2026. Source

    Qin and Sun note that OpenAI’s draft claiming finiteness of the Hilbert number H(d) appeared after their own lower-bound work, and that their order d^2 (log d)^2 lower bound is independent of it.

  • Robert Joseph George, Do the Lean statements in openai/math match their papers?, 7 October 2026. Source

    The family headline says it resolves the uniform boundedness assertion in Hilbert’s sixteenth problem, but only quintic Lienard systems are formalised.

Questions awaiting review

Each item identifies a statement, definition or report that needs further review. Its link opens a GitHub form with the source version already recorded.

Read the Lean statement against the paper

  • An AI agent drafted an assessment of which part of the paper this Lean statement expresses. No named human review is recorded. Open the form

Identify the theorem the catalogue describes

  • Family 143 The theorem shown was selected from shared wording with OpenAI’s description. Atlas records no review confirming that it is the theorem the description means. Open the form

Address a question raised in an independent assessment

Compare the proposed paper and Lean matches

  • Family 143 Atlas records no review of whether each linked Lean statement and paper theorem mean the same thing. Open the form