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The geometric case of the Erdős similarity conjecture

OpenAI groups related papers into a “family”. OpenAI’s catalogue describes this one:

For every fixed \(q\in(0,1)\), constructs compact subsets of \([0,1]\) with measure arbitrarily close to one containing no translated and nontrivially dilated copy of \(\{q^n:n\ge1\}\), with dilations of either sign. This resolves the geometric-progression case of the Erdős similarity conjecture for every ratio. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

The independent assessments find that the Lean statements express only part of the result described above, or a narrower statement. Read the assessments

It bears on Erdős problem #120, as listed by Thomas Bloom, erdosproblems.com.

What the papers state

Theorem 1.1

In The dyadic case of the Erdős similarity conjecture, 25 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from shared wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

For every \eta\in(0,1), there is a compact set E_\eta\subseteq[0,1] with m(E_\eta)>1-\eta such that

\text{for every }x\in\R\text{ and every }s\in\R\setminus\{0\}, \quad x+sD\nsubseteq E_\eta.

Equivalently, for every such x,s there is an integer n\ge1 with x+s2^{-n}\notin E_\eta.

Theorem 1.1

In The geometric case of the Erdős similarity conjecture, 5 October 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from shared wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

For every q\in(0,1) and \eta\in(0,1), there is a compact set E_{q,\eta}\subseteq[0,1] with m(E_{q,\eta})>1-\eta such that

\text{for every }x\in\R\text{ and }s\in\R\setminus\{0\}, \quad x+sq^n\notin E_{q,\eta}\text{ for some integer }n\ge1.

No Lean statement in the release is paired with this theorem.

The release does not say which paper theorem its catalogue describes. The statements above share the most wording with the description; the atlas has not reviewed that choice. Identifying it is listed under Questions awaiting review.

Reported proof verification
One Lean statement in the release; three independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this file at the version shown here.

Papers

Each paper opens as a reading page in the browser, with the PDF beside it. The statements each paper opens with are on its reading page.

The geometric case of the Erdős similarity conjecture

5 October 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the geometric-progression case of the Erdős similarity conjecture. For every fixed \(q\in(0,1)\) and every \(\eta\in(0,1)\), we construct a compact set \(E_{q,\eta}\subseteq[0,1]\) of measure greater than \(1-\eta\) containing no nontrivial affine copy of \(\{q^n:n\ge1\}\), for any translation and either sign of nonzero dilation. The set may depend on q; the result makes no simultaneous assertion for different ratios.

The dyadic case of the Erdős similarity conjecture

25 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We construct a compact subset of the unit interval, of measure arbitrarily close to one, that contains no affine copy of the dyadic sequence \(\{2^{-n}:n\ge1\}\). The conclusion holds for every translation and every nonzero real dilation, of either sign, proving the dyadic case of the Erdős similarity conjecture.

One Lean statement in this family

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The Lean statement below is shown beside its possible paper counterpart, with the reason they were linked.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

DyadicAvoidance

The paper states

Theorem 1.1

In The dyadic case of the Erdős similarity conjecture, 25 September 2026

For every \eta\in(0,1), there is a compact set E_\eta\subseteq[0,1] with m(E_\eta)>1-\eta such that

\text{for every }x\in\R\text{ and every }s\in\R\setminus\{0\}, \quad x+sD\nsubseteq E_\eta.

Equivalently, for every such x,s there is an integer n\ge1 with x+s2^{-n}\notin E_\eta.

The words they share: compact, integer, dyadic, eta.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Positive-measure avoidance of every affine dyadic sequence

DyadicAvoidance.lean, the release lists it as a supporting statement.

theorem dyadic_affine_avoidance :    ∀ η : ℝ, 0 < η → η < 1 → ∃ E : Set ℝ,      E ⊆ Set.Icc (0 : ℝ) 1 ∧ IsCompact E ∧      MeasureTheory.volume E > ENNReal.ofReal (1 - η) ∧      ∀ x s : ℝ, s ≠ 0 → ∃ n : ℕ, 1 ≤ n ∧        x + s * dyadicPoint n ∉ E := by  sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

three independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet; Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.
  • Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling records it as “accepted”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

Neither group finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result. They describe what the statements express in different terms.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express part of the advertised result (their term: “partial”).

Their note: Only q = 1/2 (dyadic) is stated; the geometric-progression case for every ratio q in (0,1) is not.

“partial”, in their words: Only a special case is stated, or a co-equal headline claim has no challenge statement.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express a narrower statement than the advertised result (their term: “NARROWER — UNLINKED”).

The gap they name: The headline claims every ratio q ∈ (0,1); the Lean states only q = 1/2. The general-ratio theorem is the October 5 manuscript (‘The geometric case…’), which the scope note does not link.

“NARROWER — UNLINKED”, in their words: The challenge statements state less than the headline; the missing part comes from a paper the Lean note does not link.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

The formalization proves the dyadic case of the Erdős similarity conjecture. For every $0<\eta<1$, it constructs a compact set $E\subset[0,1]$ of measure greater than $1-\eta$ that contains no affine copy of $\{2^{-n}:n\ge1\}$. Explicitly, for every translation $x$ and every nonzero real dilation $s$, some point $x+s2^{-n}$ lies outside $E$. Both signs of $s$ are included.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Positive-measure avoidance of every affine dyadic sequence DyadicAvoidance

    Unreviewed AI draft: states a paper’s theorem as the paper does. States the main theorem: for every η in (0, 1) a compact subset of [0, 1] of measure above 1 − η containing no affine copy of {2^{-n}}. The geometric case of the family’s later paper is not part of the statement.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Positive-measure avoidance of every affine dyadic sequence DyadicAvoidance

Three reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report
Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling“accepted”Re-run through Comparator with Lean’s kernel: accepted (the check took 136 s).10 October 2026Original report

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Papers elsewhere in the release that this family’s papers cite

This family’s papers cite no paper elsewhere in the release.

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

No paper elsewhere in the release cites this family’s papers.

Follow-up work by others

  • Hexagon, Hexagon: a repository for research in the mathematical sciences and theoretical computer science, 9 October 2026. Source

    hexagon:2610.00176v1 (Vjekoslav Kovač, text from ChatGPT 6 Astra on 9 October) proves a non-universality criterion for the Erdős similarity conjecture beyond geometric decay, building on OpenAI’s geometric-case manuscript.

  • Harald Schilly, haraldschilly/math-distance-set-similarity: Erdős similarity for distance sets in Lean 4, 7 October 2026. Source

    Erdős similarity result for distance sets formalised in Lean on top of OpenAI’s libraries.

References outside the release

Each paper’s outside references are listed with it on its reading page, where each citation is placed. Every outside work cited in the release: References outside the release

Explain a result, compare statements or propose a correction

Atlas has no contributed explanation for this family yet. You can offer one with a GitHub account. You receive named credit and disclose any AI assistance.

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What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a counterexample and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Major math journal”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

  • Moritz Firsching, anxkhn, Paul Lezeau, Formal Conjectures: mark problems solved in the OpenAI math release and link formal proofs, 11 October 2026. Source

    A Formal Conjectures maintainer, after source inspection, links the dyadic avoidance result to Green’s problem 94.

  • Thomas Bloom, Erdős problems in the OpenAI proofs, 8 October 2026. Source

    Bloom lists Erdős 120 (the similarity problem for geometric sequences) and notes the Lean covers only the ratio one half.

  • Kan Jiang, Lifeng Xi, The Erdős similarity problem for null sequences with adjacent ratios bounded below, 8 October 2026. Source

    Jiang and Xi cite OpenAI’s dyadic and geometric cases of the Erdos similarity conjecture as the nearest results to their theorem on null sequences with adjacent ratios bounded below.

Questions awaiting review

Each item identifies a statement, definition or report that needs further review. Its link opens a GitHub form with the source version already recorded.

Read the Lean statement against the paper

  • An AI agent drafted an assessment of which part of the paper this Lean statement expresses. No named human review is recorded. Open the form

Identify the theorem the catalogue describes

  • Family 084 No single paper statement clearly matches OpenAI’s description by wording, and no review identifying the intended theorem is recorded. Open the form

Compare the proposed paper and Lean matches

  • Family 084 Atlas records no review of whether each linked Lean statement and paper theorem mean the same thing. Open the form