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Iitaka subadditivity, variation, and logarithmic additivity

OpenAI groups related papers into a “family”. OpenAI’s catalogue describes this one:

Proves Campana’s orbifold Iitaka subadditivity conjecture for smooth Fujiki-class-\(\mathcal C\) manifolds with rational simple-normal-crossing boundaries. For projective fibrations \(f:U\to V\) of smooth complex quasi-projective varieties with connected fibers, general fiber F, and \(\bar\kappa(V)\ge0\), proves Popa’s inequality \(\bar\kappa(U)\ge\kappa(F)+\max\{\bar\kappa(V),\mathop{\mathrm{Var}}\nolimits (f)\}\), where variation measures the whole geometric generic fiber. (OpenAI’s Lean note)

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The assessments below ask whether those statements express the result OpenAI describes here.

The independent assessments find that the Lean statements express a supporting step or a different result. Read the assessments

The paper states

Theorem 1.1 (Orbifold subadditivity)

In Orbifold and logarithmic Iitaka subadditivity, 26 September 2026

Possible match to OpenAI’s description, selected from the papers’ main statements because it shares the most wording. No review confirming the selection is recorded.

Nine other possible matches are listed below the card, among them Theorem 1.1 (Logarithmic variation) in Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation and Corollary 1.2 (Projective Iitaka–Viehweg inequality) in Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation.

Let X be a smooth compact connected complex manifold in Fujiki class \mathcal C, let \Delta be a rational SNC boundary, and let f:X\to Y be a surjective holomorphic map with connected fibers onto a normal compact irreducible complex space. For a very general smooth fiber F, put \Delta_F=\Delta|_F. Then

\kappa(X,K_X+\Delta) \geq\kappa(F,K_F+\Delta_F)+\kappa(f\mid\Delta).

No Lean statement in the release is paired with this theorem.

Nine more possible matches

  • Theorem 1.1 (Logarithmic variation) in Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation, 26 September 2026.
  • Corollary 1.2 (Projective Iitaka–Viehweg inequality) in Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation, 26 September 2026.
  • Corollary 1.3 (Variation and birational isotriviality) in Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation, 26 September 2026.
  • Theorem 1.2 (Projective adjoint positivity) in Projective Hodge lines and ordinary Iitaka subadditivity, 27 September 2026.
  • Theorem 1.1 (Ordinary Iitaka subadditivity) in Projective Hodge lines and ordinary Iitaka subadditivity, 27 September 2026.
  • Theorem 1.1 in B-semiampleness for compact log-smooth Kähler fibrations, 10 September 2026.
  • Corollary 1.2 (Logarithmic additivity) in The reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality and additivity, 26 September 2026.
  • Proposition 1.3 in The reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality and additivity, 26 September 2026.
  • Theorem 1.1 (Reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality) in The reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality and additivity, 26 September 2026.
Reported proof verification
One Lean statement in the release; three independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this file at the version shown here.

Papers

Each paper opens as a reading page in the browser, with the PDF beside it. The statements each paper opens with are on its reading page.

Orbifold and logarithmic Iitaka subadditivity

26 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove Campana’s orbifold Iitaka subadditivity conjecture for rational simple normal crossing boundaries on compact manifolds in Fujiki class \(\mathcal C\), including coefficient one. Ordinary and logarithmic subadditivity follow.

Logarithmic Kodaira dimension and whole-fiber variation

26 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the logarithmic Iitaka–Viehweg inequality for projective surjective morphisms with connected fibers between smooth complex quasi-projective varieties whose base has nonnegative logarithmic Kodaira dimension. The variation measures the birational field of definition of the whole geometric generic fiber. This resolves Popa’s logarithmic variation conjecture positively.

The reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality and additivity

26 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality for a surjective connected-fiber morphism \(f:(X,E)\to(Y,D)\) of smooth projective reduced simple-normal-crossing pairs, with \(\mathop{\mathrm{Supp}}\nolimits (f^*D)\subseteq\mathop{\mathrm{Supp}}\nolimits E\), such that X and every boundary stratum are smooth over \(Y\setminus\mathop{\mathrm{Supp}}\nolimits D\). Together with logarithmic subadditivity, the inequality gives additivity, including both negative-infinity cases. This resolves Popa’s logarithmic additivity conjecture positively in the projective reduced-SNC, stratum-smooth setting.

Projective Hodge lines and ordinary Iitaka subadditivity

27 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the ordinary Iitaka subadditivity conjecture for surjective projective morphisms with connected fibers between smooth connected projective varieties over algebraically closed fields of characteristic zero. If F is the geometric generic fiber of \(f:X\to Z\), then \(\kappa(X)\geq\kappa(F)+\kappa(Z)\).

B-semiampleness for compact log-smooth Kähler fibrations

10 September 2026, current edition.

Read it herePDF

We prove the compact log-smooth Kähler case of b-semiampleness. Let \(f:Y\to X\) be a surjective holomorphic map with connected fibers between smooth compact connected Kähler manifolds, and let Δ be an effective rational divisor with simple normal crossing support and coefficients in \([0,1]\), with \(K_Y+\Delta\sim_{\mathbb Q}f^*L\) for \(L\in\mathop{\mathrm{Pic}}\nolimits (X)_{\mathbb Q}\). There is a smooth compact Kähler modification \(S\to X\) for which the threshold-moduli line satisfies \(M_{S_1}=\nu^*M_S\) in \(\mathop{\mathrm{Pic}}\nolimits (S_1)_{\mathbb Q}\) for every smooth compact Kähler modification \(\nu:S_1\to S\), and some positive multiple of MS is represented by a holomorphic line bundle generated by global sections. Horizontal components of coefficient one are allowed; neither projectivity nor a Campana orbifold Iitaka hypothesis is assumed.

One Lean statement in this family

Lean is a language for mathematical statements and proofs that a computer can verify. The Lean statement below is shown beside its possible paper counterpart, with the reason they were linked. The outside readers find that the release’s Lean states a supporting or different result, so the theorem it is paired with is shown under its own heading.

For a configured theorem, the Comparator program tests whether OpenAI’s separate proof proves the exact Lean statement using only the allowed axioms. Some statement files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Acceptance does not establish that a formal statement means the same thing as the paper’s theorem.

LogKodairaFiberNegative

The paper states

The words they share: additivity, logarithmic, pairs, theorem.

Possible Lean counterpart

Selected from shared wording. No review of whether the statements mean the same thing is recorded.

Logarithmic Kodaira additivity in the negative-fiber branch

LogKodairaFiberNegative.lean, the release lists it as a supporting statement.

theorem veryGenerally_fiber_negative_branch    {X Y : SmoothProjectiveVariety} {E : X.ReducedSNCBoundary} {D : Y.ReducedSNCBoundary}    (f : StratumSmoothFibration X Y E D) :    VeryGenerally Y fun y => y.point ∈ D.complement ∧      ∀ F : FiberModel f.toBoundaryFibration y, F.boundary.kodaira = ⊥ →        E.kodaira = D.kodaira + F.boundary.kodaira ∧        ∀ (m : ℕ), 0 < m → ∀ s : X.RationalPluriform m, s ∈ E.sections m → s = 0 := by sorry

This file states the theorem with sorry, a placeholder, in place of its proof. OpenAI supplies a separate proof file. Comparator tests whether that proof proves the statement here.

three independent groups report that Comparator accepted runs for this Lean statement file: cert-machine; MathVet; Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling. Who ran the proof-verification program

  • cert-machine records it as “CERTIFIED”.
  • MathVet records it as “comparator-sandboxed-pass”.
  • Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling records it as “accepted”.

Read the complete Lean statement

Independent comparisons and proof-verification reports

Does the Lean express the advertised result?

Neither group finds that the Lean statements express or imply the whole advertised result. They describe what the statements express in different terms.

MathVet and Carlos Toledo’s cert-machine independently assessed whether this family’s Lean statements express the whole result OpenAI describes in its catalogue. These are assessments of the family as a whole, not of each paper theorem separately.

MathVet finds that the Lean statements express a supporting result (their term: “supporting-only”).

Their note: Only the very-general negative-fibre (kappa(F) = -infinity) branch of log additivity in the projective reduced-SNC stratum-smooth setting; no Campana orbifold Iitaka statement, no Popa/variation inequality, no kappa >= 0 branch.

Definitions the group asks readers to compare with the paper: Entire framework is custom scheme theory: SmoothProjectiveVariety, ReducedSNCBoundary, kodaira := ⨆ (k : ℕ) (_ : E.HasImageDimensionAtLeast k), (k : WithBot ℕ∞) (Iitaka dimension via algebraically independent ratios of log pluriforms), VeryGenerally; the conclusion quantifies ∀ F : FiberModel..., so it is vacuous if no FiberModel can exist (non-vacuity is not visible from the statement)

“supporting-only”, in their words: The challenge statements state a lemma or auxiliary result, not the headline.

Their method: An independent, model-assisted, pre-referee reading of each family’s challenge statements against its headline claim under a published rubric (PROTOCOL.md), with its own Comparator runs per challenge.

cert-machine finds that the Lean statements express a different result (their term: “DIFFERENT”).

The gap they name: Neither headline sentence is stated. The family’s only challenge states the negative-fibre branch of logarithmic Kodaira ADDITIVITY (for a very general complex base point y outside the base boundary, if the fibre pair has log Kodaira dimension ⊥ = −∞ then κ̄(X,E) = κ̄(Y,D) + κ̄(F) = −∞ and every positive-degree log pluriform on X vanishes), for stratum-smooth surjective connected-fibre morphisms of smooth projective reduced-SNC pairs — a result of the third manuscript (‘The reverse logarithmic Kodaira inequality and additivity’), which the headline does not mention (only the family title’s word ‘logarithmic additivity’ does). It neither implies nor is implied by the headline: subadditivity is a lower bound on κ̄(U) and says nothing when κ(F) = −∞, while the Lean statement is an upper bound (equality to −∞).

“DIFFERENT”, in their words: The challenge statements state a different theorem from the headline.

Their method: Every Comparator challenge re-run on Linux with nanoda switched on, decided by a preregistered rule.

OpenAI’s own note on what its Lean covers

The paper studies logarithmic Kodaira additivity for connected-fiber morphisms of smooth projective reduced simple-normal-crossing pairs that are smooth on all boundary strata away from the base boundary. The linked formalization proves the negative-fiber branch: for a very general base point, if the logarithmic Kodaira dimension of the fiber is $-\infty$, then the total logarithmic Kodaira dimension equals the sum of the base and fiber dimensions and is $-\infty$. Every positive-degree logarithmic pluriform section on the total space then vanishes.

The finite-dimension and negative-base branches of the paper’s additivity theorem are outside this selected statement.

AI-drafted comparisons, with no recorded human review

  • Logarithmic Kodaira additivity in the negative-fiber branch LogKodairaFiberNegative

    Unreviewed AI draft: states part of a paper’s theorem. States the negative-fibre branch of the logarithmic additivity theorem: if the fibre over a very general point has logarithmic Kodaira dimension −∞, so does the total space. The finite-dimension and negative-base branches are outside the statement.

Who ran the proof-verification program?

These groups report running Comparator with the release’s Lean statement files. For a configured theorem, it verifies OpenAI’s separate proof against the exact statement; some files instead configure definitions for comparison by name and type. Each row is the named group’s report. Atlas has not repeated the runs.

These reports do not list the software versions, proof-verification programs, axioms, time or memory in separate fields. Any such details in a report’s prose are reproduced below.

Logarithmic Kodaira additivity in the negative-fiber branch LogKodairaFiberNegative

Three reports, all at the release’s recorded version.

Reported byTheir wordTheir accountDateOriginal report
cert-machine“CERTIFIED”Re-run through Comparator with the independent nanoda kernel switched on: Lean’s kernel and nanoda both accept OpenAI’s solution.10 October 2026Original report
MathVet“comparator-sandboxed-pass”Re-run through Comparator in a sandboxed virtual machine: accepted.8 October 2026Original report
Neal McBurnett, openai-math-lean-tooling“accepted”Re-run through Comparator with Lean’s kernel: accepted (the check took 264 s; peak memory 6.4 GiB).10 October 2026Original report

What these papers cite in the release, and what cites them

These links come from the papers’ bibliographies. A citation records that one paper cites another; how each cited result is used has not been examined here.

Within this family

Papers elsewhere in the release that cite this family’s papers

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What people have said

Commentary on this family by others, dated and credited. It is commentary, not a finding.

  • An unsigned public tier list, the OpenAI Math Tier List, classes it as a proof and rates its significance, if it holds up, as “Career-defining publication”. The page says that nothing on it is verified.

    Author not stated. Source

Questions awaiting review

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Identify the theorem the catalogue describes

  • Family 033 The theorem shown was selected from shared wording with OpenAI’s description. Atlas records no review confirming that it is the theorem the description means. Open the form

Address a question raised in an independent assessment

Compare the proposed paper and Lean matches

  • Family 033 Atlas records no review of whether each linked Lean statement and paper theorem mean the same thing. Open the form